04.05.2024

Hi this is prayers and i'm a. professional gambler today i want to. analyze a new split spot limit oh mind. for you. this hand was originally brought up by. jane anders i think they call him the. doctor or professor of. polka or portland um i don't know. exactly and he already analyzed the hand. but i disagree with his conclusions. that's why i want to give you a second. opinion on. this hand but before we jump into the. hand please make sure to like and. subscribe. this helps my channel tremendously and. this also. let me know which content you want to. see. more of in the future so as this is out. of the way let's now. start with the analysis the blinds plate. are 100. 200 mr joy limps under the gun here is. the mark of the table. as you can see in the gg poker hut his. vpip is 82 the small numbers attached to. the names are the vpip.

Of the six players playing eightytwo. percent of the hands is obvious. suboptimal vasily folds and max limansky. a longterm high stacks regular decides. to isolate mr troy raising pot and. making it 900. everyone falls to the big blind who. defends his blind by calling. with jack jack double suited afterwards. mr troy also comes along. the flop comes out very draw heavy and. alice hits second nuts making middle set. he decides to lead out getting called by. two players. jai nandis was heavily criticizing his. play. here are some of his original quotes he. has middle set and you might think well. this is a pretty strong hint let's just. bat build a pot let's get the money in. the middle. but the reality is this is not a very. strong hint on this board i. disagree with this it is a very strong. hand. we got second nuts true we don't like.

About half of the turn cards but at the. moment our hand is nevertheless. very very good your run outs are very. marginal there are a lot of turns a lot. of rivers. where your hand will not be the nuts. anymore you have no flush draw no. background flush so you have no straight. draw. and so the run outs are not that great. and when that whenever that is the case. you should highly consider either check. raising the flop so you can avoid the. run outs. and just get the money in right on the. flop this is something we can agree upon. by check raising he will make the hand a. lot easier to play and he will also. reduce the huge pot to stack ratio. which is eminent at the moment when you. get raised in the flop you're not. excited you think about. a range of hands like pocket queens as. well as big combo draws you're going to.

Be a pretty big dog. this is a marginal lead is what i'm. saying i disagree with almost. everything said i love my hand i am. excited i love to pump in money. if i am up against queens i consider. this a cooler but i am not looking to. fold my jacks basically ever. there is just one tricky spot and this. is when the fish. raises and maxi reraises but even then. i would most likely go with my hand so. if he would face a race in the flop i. think. that he would potentially fold jack jack. nine deuce but if you decide to lead. hypothetically. and you would be facing let's say a call. and then a. push you're actually going to fold jack. jack ninjas because your hand is just. not doing good enough. and you need to or should be folding a. set welcome. to solver world you are supposed to fold. second nuts. if the fish calls and max raises i would.

Never ever ever ever do that it's also. fundamentally wrong to argue in this. hand. based on solvers ranges this is because. one guy is playing terribly and jane. ennis is putting him on gto ranges in. this. analyzes even folding bottom set seems. odd to me. you cannot solve situations like this. based on solvers as this is not taking. into account. the suboptimal ranges of the fish it. also neglects. the adjustment the regulars make. based on the behavior of the fun player. the exploitative adjustments so to speak. in fernando's defense he mentions. that gto ranges don't quite fit here. nevertheless he shows the results and. demands a fold if middleset is getting. raised. i would as already said never ever. ever ever in one million years consider. a fold with jax. let's now try to back my claims with my. own analyzers.

Let's first try to construct an all in. range for mr joy i will assume that he. is getting in. all sets and good combo draws like the. ace high flush draw and the straight raw. he will also get in. good mate hands that also include a. flush draw he will also overplay. top two pair with a certain frequency. this range looks. good based on my experience playing. against dudes like him. against his range we are ahead a lot and. we are obviously not looking to fold. even when i put max into the mix 2 and. say. we will have a race and a rerace on the. flop we still. got barely enough equity to be all in to. be. more precise it's actually a fold by a. really tiny margin. against the tightest range i put in for. max. but if max is just a bit loser. it becomes a call already as we don't. know his exact range. and based on my previous experience with.

Him i would not lay my hand down. if we downfold we might make a tiny. mistake but. we could make a huge mistake if he has. a considerably more loose range. in maxi's shoes i personally. would semi bluff kind of white because. his line looks. f nuttish and we might get. very strong hands to fold maybe even. bottom set or as fernando. suggests middleset against the chinese. gambler we can also expect to be good. a lot as he has a suboptimal range that. is a way to lose. in the best case we might get it in with. a draw. which is up against another draw which. we dominate. in the scenario with mux raising. versus a donk and the coil from the fish. in which fernando wants us to fold with. jack jack. my rangers suggest to get it in even. when we are up against the neatest range. i was able to construct. we have just enough equity we need a bit.

Less than. 39 and we got a bit more than 39. keep in mind that max is not shoving. seven seven. for bottom set in the nittiest range and. i think. most people would raise and get in with. this and. although gto might suggest otherwise. against. all other ranges which are a bit less. knitty or some are also pretty wide. we will have the worst end of a flip. with the money. already in the pot we definitely cannot. fall anymore. but i have to admit the spot is a lot. closer. than i thought against the tide range. this shows us that the solvers do a very. good job. but you cannot use the gto results in. spots like this. where one guy is dividing too much from. optimal play and both players also have. to make. exploitable adjustments to their normal. game plan. as no races happen on the floor we will. now see a turn card. this basically is the best card possible.

For the jacks. and potting to get much protection and. value is definitely the way to go. surprisingly the fun player now wants to. get it in. i would love it in the big blind spot i. put him on something like. two pair that waited for a safe turn or. some sort of draw. but now got better in the eyes of the. fun player for example he might. have turned two pair in addition to a. flush draw or an open ender. sometimes these recreational players. also lose their and just get in a. draw in top pair. although seeing a river has to be better. this might happen because. this guy isn't gonna full top pair. anyways getting a good. price on the river so he might as well. go in. it turns out that i was correct the top. pair. and open ender turned to pair two and he. couldn't let go. they run it twice unfortunately for. others his hand can only hold once and.

they split. the pot let me know what you think about. my analysis. is jane endless right or is my analysis. more accurate. this was it for today i hope you learned. something. and enjoyed the video if this is the. case please like and also consider. subscribing if you don't want to miss. any of my future videos thanks for. watching bye